Review of the climate risk and opportunity assessment practices in 11 jurisdictions

The aim of this project was to analyze the practices followed in climate change risk and opportunity assessments (CROAs) conducted at the national level in 11 jurisdictions. This summary presents the findings from a review of the 11 selected CROA reports and semi-structured interviews with the CROA leaders. The 11 CROAs were examined based on 38 criteria grouped into three categories: framing, methodology and dissemination of results.  

Project details
Scientific program
Programmation 2020-2028
Theme(s) and priority(s)
Outside Programming
Start and duration
August 2023 • April 2024
Project Status
Completed
 
Principal(s) investigator(s)
Clara Champalle
Ouranos

Context

The purpose of a climate risk and opportunity assessment is to identify, analyze and evaluate the risks to a defined area and its communities by examining climate information, vulnerabilities and potential consequences in the current climate and future ones. It will:

  • Provide a national overview of how an area may be affected by various hazards that are exacerbated or influenced by climate change

  • Help decision-makers better understand the wide range of risks their area will face and which risks to address as a priority

  • Guide priorities for adaptation programs at different levels of government, and support a strategic approach to the adaptation of businesses and communities 

  • Establish a baseline against which future assessments can be measured

Results

  • CROAs are highly variable in terms of the framing and comprehensiveness of the process. Most jurisdictions follow the framework provided by the ISO31000:2018 and ISO14090:2019 standards. However, the methodology and comprehensiveness of CROAs are often tailored to the objectives, desired scope and available resources, so the level of detail varies greatly from one CROA to another.

  • The governance of the CROA process, including the political will and the definition of the objectives and scope, has a direct influence on four determinant criteria:

  1. The methodological approach

  2. Stakeholder engagement

  3. The scale of the work

  4. The available resources

These four criteria in turn influence the level of detail of the CROAs, their format, and the dissemination of the results.

An appendix with a summary for each jurisdiction provides an overview of the different CROAs based the four determinant criteria, as well as the highlights, advantages and disadvantages of the approach, and the success factors.

Benefits for adaptation

Benefits for adaptation

The variety in CROA methodologies demonstrates that there is no single recipe for conducting a successful assessment of risks and opportunities at the national level. It is therefore appropriate to adapt the approach to the context and the objectives, taking into account how the results will be used to guide long-term adaptation.

Scientific publications

Date
Title
Author
Document type
Language(s)
2025
Synthèse de l’état de la pratique des appréciations de risques et occasions face aux changements…
Champalle, C., Desjardins, R., Boyer-Villemaire,…
French
2025
A Synthetic Review of Climate Risk and Opportuntiy Assessment Practices in 11 Jurisdictions
Champalle, C., Desjardins, R., Boyer-Villemaire,…
English

712000

 

button back to top